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Jupiler Pro League
Club Brugge KV—Antwerp
· Jan Breydel Stadion
Final score
3–1
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
62%Home win
A probability, not a prediction: 62% means the opposite outcome happens about 38% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- CLU
- 62%
- Draw
- 22%
- ANT
- 16%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 50% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- Club Brugge KV's attack: better than ~97% of the teams in the league
- Club Brugge KV takes 2.37 points per game at home, the opponent 1.19 away
- Club Brugge KV has won 4 of its last 6
What could mislead us
- The draw still weighs 22%: the outright win is not secured.
The full analysis of Club Brugge KV — Antwerp
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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