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Ligue 1
Club Africain—ES Zarzis
· Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi
What the model reads
69%Both teams to score: no
A probability, not a prediction: 69% means the opposite outcome happens about 31% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- CA
- 59%
- Draw
- 27%
- ESZ
- 14%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 67% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- Club Africain's attack: better than ~84% of the teams in the league
- Club Africain takes 2.06 points per game at home, the opponent 1.16 away
- Club Africain has won 4 of its last 6
What could mislead us
- ES Zarzis's attack: better than ~78% of the teams in the league
- The draw still weighs 27%: the outright win is not secured.
The full analysis of Club Africain — ES Zarzis
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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