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Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt—Sandefjord
· Aspmyra Stadion
What the model reads
77%Home win
A probability, not a prediction: 77% means the opposite outcome happens about 23% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- BOD
- 77%
- Draw
- 14%
- SAN
- 9%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 100%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 42% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- Bodo/Glimt's attack: better than ~97% of the teams in the league
- Bodo/Glimt takes 2.35 points per game at home, the opponent 0.96 away
- Sandefjord has 12 declared absences
What could mislead us
- Bodo/Glimt has 14 declared absences
- Sandefjord takes 1.78 points per game at home against 0.96 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The full analysis of Bodo/Glimt — Sandefjord
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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