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Liga Profesional Argentina

Atletico Tucuman—Instituto Cordoba

· Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro

Final score

0–0

The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.

What the model reads

75%Home or draw

A probability, not a prediction: 75% means the opposite outcome happens about 25% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.

TUC
47%
Draw
28%
INS
25%
Data quality behind this analysis
60%
Reliability measured in this competition
Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise

What supports it

  • Instituto Cordoba's defence: tighter than only ~27% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
  • Atletico Tucuman takes 1.65 points per game at home, the opponent 0.96 away
  • Atletico Tucuman takes 1.65 points per game at home against 0.48 away — two different sides depending on the ground

What could mislead us

  • Atletico Tucuman's defence: tighter than only ~17% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
  • Instituto Cordoba takes 1.61 points per game at home against 0.96 away — two different sides depending on the ground

The full analysis of Atletico Tucuman — Instituto Cordoba

Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.

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