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Ligue 1

Angers—Rennes

· Stade Raymond Kopa

Final score

1–2

The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.

What the model reads

44%Away win

A probability, not a prediction: 44% means the opposite outcome happens about 56% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.

ANG
28%
Draw
28%
REN
44%
Data quality behind this analysis
100%
Reliability measured in this competition
Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise

Most probable scorelines

1–113%0–112%0–09%

Together these cover 52% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.

What could mislead us

  • Angers has 4 declared absences
  • On this league, our verified analyses held 48% for 67% announced (over 21): read the probability with caution.

The full analysis of Angers — Rennes

Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.

Open the full analysis →How this number is built

GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.