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Pro League
Al-Qadisiyah FC—Al-Ahli Jeddah
· EGO Stadium
Final score
3–2
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
63%Both teams to score
A probability, not a prediction: 63% means the opposite outcome happens about 37% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- AL-
- 33%
- Draw
- 25%
- AHL
- 42%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 100%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 41% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- Al-Qadisiyah FC's attack: better than ~86% of the teams in the league
- Al-Qadisiyah FC has won 5 of its last 6
- Al-Qadisiyah FC scores 2.3 goals per game at home
What could mislead us
- Al-Ahli Jeddah's attack: better than ~81% of the teams in the league
- On this league, our verified analyses held 42% for 67% announced (over 33): read the probability with caution.
The full analysis of Al-Qadisiyah FC — Al-Ahli Jeddah
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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