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Pro League
Al Kholood—Al-Ahli Jeddah
· Al-Hazem Club Stadium
Final score
3–1
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
62%Away win
A probability, not a prediction: 62% means the opposite outcome happens about 38% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- AL
- 17%
- Draw
- 21%
- AHL
- 62%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 100%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 46% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What could mislead us
- Al-Ahli Jeddah's attack: better than ~83% of the teams in the league
- Al Kholood's defence: tighter than only ~31% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
The full analysis of Al Kholood — Al-Ahli Jeddah
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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