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Premier League
Akron—Krylia Sovetov
· Samara Arena
Final score
0–3
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
65%Both teams to score
A probability, not a prediction: 65% means the opposite outcome happens about 35% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- AKR
- 43%
- Draw
- 23%
- KRY
- 34%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 60%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
What supports it
- Krylia Sovetov's defence: tighter than only ~19% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
What could mislead us
- Akron's defence: tighter than only ~8% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
- Akron has 4 declared absences
The full analysis of Akron — Krylia Sovetov
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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